BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
W Illinois
Class: 1 Class Rank: 305 Conference: Summit Record: (5-14) Overall: (10-20) Overall Strength = 24.81
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Away L 19.24 45 75 1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota -6.33 -23.67
2 11-11-2022 Away L 16.88 75 88 1 286 ( 12- 17) Southern Indiana -8.69 -4.31
3 11-14-2022 Home L 30.61 62 64 1 210 ( 21- 8) E Illinois 5.04 -7.04
4 11-17-2022 Away L 0.45 61 100 1 180 ( 16- 13) Northern Illinois -25.12 -13.88
5 11-21-2022 Away W 25.49 59 45 1 360 ( 6- 21) Chicago St -0.08 14.08
6 11-30-2022 Home L 11.88 69 84 1 269 ( 8- 21) Tarleton St -13.68 -1.32
7 12-03-2022 Home W 25.57 86 54 ZZ 118 ( 0- 1) Eureka -0.00 * 32.00
8 12-07-2022 Away L 23.84 55 63 1 277 ( 16- 15) SE Missouri St -1.73 -6.27
9 12-09-2022 Home W 41.75 83 67 1 276 ( 7- 22) Valparaiso 16.18 -0.18
10 12-11-2022 Home W 25.46 83 77 1 316 ( 9- 22) SIUE -0.11 6.11
11 12-16-2022 Home W 21.25 84 69 ZZ 54 ( 0- 2) St Xavier IL -4.32 19.32
12 12-19-2022 Away L * 16.04 60 84 1 172 ( 18- 11) N Dakota St -9.52 -14.48
13 12-20-2022 Away L * 23.84 53 69 1 176 ( 18- 11) North Dakota -1.73 -14.27
14 12-29-2022 Home L * 33.82 63 85 1 50 ( 26- 5) S Dakota St 8.25 * -30.25
15 12-31-2022 Home W * 40.20 76 67 1 221 ( 14- 16) South Dakota 14.63 -5.63
16 01-05-2023 Away L * 20.95 64 76 1 245 ( 13- 16) NE Omaha -4.62 -7.38
17 01-07-2023 Away L * 20.17 58 70 1 256 ( 12- 18) Denver -5.40 -6.60
18 01-12-2023 Home L * 27.61 90 94 1 224 ( 12- 18) Oral Roberts 2.04 -6.04
19 01-14-2023 Home W * 31.95 78 68 1 304 ( 9- 22) Missouri KC 6.38 3.62
20 01-21-2023 Away W * 37.71 77 75 1 228 ( 13- 17) St Thomas MN 12.14 -10.14
21 01-26-2023 Away L * 18.32 56 74 1 221 ( 14- 16) South Dakota -7.25 -10.75
22 01-28-2023 Away L * 37.94 58 81 1 50 ( 26- 5) S Dakota St 12.38 * -35.38
23 02-02-2023 Home L * 16.05 61 72 1 256 ( 12- 18) Denver -9.52 -1.48
24 02-04-2023 Home L * 25.83 55 57 1 245 ( 13- 16) NE Omaha 0.26 -2.26
25 02-09-2023 Away W * 47.07 72 52 1 304 ( 9- 22) Missouri KC 21.50 -1.50
26 02-11-2023 Away W * 42.73 91 85 1 224 ( 12- 18) Oral Roberts 17.16 -11.16
27 02-18-2023 Home L * 16.59 57 71 1 228 ( 13- 17) St Thomas MN -8.98 -5.02
28 02-23-2023 Home L * 18.72 70 86 1 176 ( 18- 11) North Dakota -6.85 -9.15
29 02-25-2023 Home L * 26.92 74 82 1 172 ( 18- 11) N Dakota St 1.35 -9.35
30 03-03-2023 Neutral L * 22.15 50 61 1 228 ( 13- 17) St Thomas MN -3.42 -7.58
Averages 25.57 67.5 73.2
Best game: 47.07 = 20 point win over Missouri KC
Worst game: 0.45 = 39 point loss to N Illinois
Team stdev: 10.26